Panel report: Skincare
AI names CeraVe most in skincare, 4 points clear
CeraVe leads skincare on AI search visibility with Panel Score 68, sitting firmly in the repeat-use tier, in a tight race with La Roche-Posay (Panel Score 64).
- CeraVe's Panel Score, the highest in the segment
- 68
- Effective number of brands AI recommends, of 20
- 11.4
- Share of all citations taken by the top 3
- 42%
- Brands tracked
- 20
Refreshed May 7, 2026. 20 brands, 20 fixed buyer-intent prompts, asked of ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Claude, Grok. Methodology v1.0, read the method. Part of Beauty.
Contents
CeraVe leads Skincare on AI search visibility with Panel Score 68, sitting firmly in the repeat-use tier.
When buyers ask AI assistants questions like “What are the best skincare brands and products to consider for cleansers, serums, moisturizers, treatments, retinol, sunscreen, and masks in 2026?” or “Best affordable skincare brands for cleansers, serums, moisturizers, treatments, retinol, sunscreen, and masks under $30?”, a small set of skincareget cited every time. Most don't. This report measures which.
- Who AI cites most
- CeraVe is cited in 66 of 100 prompt-engine pairs (66%). 95% confidence interval 57-75.
- Concentration
- The top 3 brands (CeraVe, La Roche-Posay, The Ordinary) capture 42% of all citations in this segment. 9 of 20 tracked brands are cited in fewer than 1 in 10 prompt-engine pairs.
- Where the field sits
- Of 20 brands tested: 3 in repeat-use, 5 in first-encounter, 12 not yet cited. Overall, AI cites a brand from this segment in 22% of buyer-intent prompt-engine pairs.
- Engine asymmetry
- CeraVe is cited in 90% of Claude prompts but only 0% on Perplexity, visibility is engine-specific, not universal.
- Phase flip
- La Roche-Posay actually outperforms CeraVe on Filtered Discovery prompts, overall Panel Score hides this category-specific strength.
- Notable absence
- Rhode is not yet cited, 0 prompts across all 100 prompt-engine pairs. A recognizable brand AI is not yet surfacing.
| Default choice | 0 | |
|---|---|---|
| Repeat use | 3 | |
| First encounter | 5 | |
| Not yet cited | 12 |
Stage comes from each brand's Panel Score: Default choice 75 and up, Repeat use 50 to 74, First encounter 25 to 49, Not yet cited 0 to 24.
Average Panel Score across the segment is 24.
Analyst note. CeraVe leads with Panel Score 68, but no brand reaches the leader tier in skincare.
CeraVe is the top brand in skincare with a Panel Score of 68, followed by La Roche-Posay at 64. Both are in the foothold tier, showing repeat use but not strong leadership. CeraVe has high visibility on ChatGPT and Claude, scoring 80 and 90. The Ordinary is third with a Panel Score of 57, performing well in discovery but weaker in comparison phases. Twelve out of twenty brands are not cited at all, so the cited set is small.
Risk. Neutrogena risks falling further behind with a low Panel Score of 39 and no visibility on Perplexity.
CeraVe tops a 20-brand ranking in which 12 brands are not yet cited
Ranked by Panel Score, a 0 to 100 score that weights four buying phases: Discovery, Filtered Discovery, Comparison and Evaluation. Citations count fully and mentions count at half weight; engines are weighted equally. Spread is the gap between a brand's best and worst engine: under 15pp is durable, 50pp and up is engine-dependent. Engine columns count the prompts (out of 20) where that engine cited the brand as a recommendation.
| Rank | Brand | Panel Score | 95% CI | Spread | Per engine | ChatGPT | Perplexity | Gemini | Claude | Grok | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Best: Evaluation (16/20), open recommendation (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (14/30), premium (0/5) | 68 | 57 to 75 | 90pp | 16 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 17 | Repeat use | |
| 2 | Best: Evaluation (15/20), open recommendation (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (12/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 64 | 53 to 72 | 85pp | 15 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 17 | Repeat use | |
| 3 | Best: Discovery (20/30), open recommendation (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (13/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 57 | 47 to 66 | 80pp | 15 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 16 | Repeat use | |
| 4 | Best: Evaluation (9/20), evaluation decision criteria (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (10/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 39 | 30 to 49 | 75pp | 15 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | First encounter | |
| 5 | Best: Evaluation (9/20), top-brands lists (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (7/30), premium (0/5) | 39 | 29 to 48 | 70pp | 9 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | First encounter | |
| 6 | Best: Discovery (15/30), filtered persona pro (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (7/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 33 | 25 to 43 | 60pp | 11 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 2 | First encounter | |
| 7 | Best: Comparison (1/20), premium (4/5) | 28 | 20 to 37 | 10pp | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | First encounter | |
| 8 | Best: Discovery (12/30), open recommendation (4/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (4/30), popular brands (0/5) | 27 | 19 to 36 | 40pp | 8 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 | First encounter | |
| 9 | Best: Discovery (11/30), open recommendation (4/5) Weakest: Evaluation (1/20), discovery recommendation request (0/5) | 23 | 15 to 32 | 35pp | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | Not yet cited | |
| 10 | Best: Evaluation (5/20), comparison alternative to leader (2/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (3/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 18 | 11 to 26 | 65pp | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | Not yet cited | |
| 11 | Best: Discovery (8/30), premium (4/5) Weakest: Comparison (1/20), discovery recommendation request (0/5) | 16 | 11 to 26 | 50pp | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | Not yet cited | |
| 12 | Best: Comparison (6/20), comparison attribute specific (3/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (0/30), open recommendation (0/5) | 16 | 9 to 22 | 40pp | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | Not yet cited | |
| 13 | Best: Comparison (5/20), comparison attribute specific (3/5) Weakest: Evaluation (0/20), open recommendation (0/5) | 10 | 4 to 16 | 25pp | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | Not yet cited | |
| 14 | Best: Discovery (5/30), top-brands lists (2/5) Weakest: Filtered Discovery (1/30), emerging brands (0/5) | 9 | 5 to 16 | 25pp | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | Not yet cited | |
| 15 | Best: Discovery (6/30), top-brands lists (2/5) Weakest: Evaluation (0/20), emerging brands (0/5) | 9 | 5 to 17 | 20pp | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | Not yet cited | |
| 16 | Best: Discovery (3/30), filtered persona beginner (2/5) | 6 | 3 to 12 | 25pp | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Not yet cited | |
| 17 | Best: Discovery (3/30), popular brands (2/5) | 5 | 2 to 11 | 15pp | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Not yet cited | |
| 18 | Best: Comparison (1/20), filtered persona beginner (1/5) | 2 | 1 to 7 | 10pp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Not yet cited | |
| 19 | Best: Filtered Discovery (0/30) | 1 | 0 to 6 | 0pp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Not yet cited | |
| 20 | Rhode | 0 | 0 to 4 | 0pp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Not yet cited |
Wilson 95% confidence intervals. The same 20 prompts run every month, so a change in Panel Score is a paired comparison, not noise. Source: mapou Panel, May 7, 2026.
- Default choice (75+)
- AI's go-to recommendation in skincare. The tier other brands are competing into.
- Repeat use (50 to 74)
- Cited often enough to feel reliably present across prompts and engines. One signal away from default.
- First encounter (25 to 49)
- Discovered and cited occasionally, but visibility is inconsistent. Real to AI, not yet trusted.
- Not yet cited (0 to 24)
- AI does not surface this brand for buyer-intent prompts in skincare.
Claude cites skincare most often (33%), Perplexity least (0%)
How often each engine cites a brand from this category as a recommendation, averaged across all 20 brands tested. Perplexity and Grok search the live web; ChatGPT and Claude lean more on trained knowledge; Gemini blends both.
| Engine | Bar | Rate | Brands cited |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 33% | 17 of 20 | |
| ChatGPT | 27% | 14 of 20 | |
| Gemini | 25% | 16 of 20 | |
| Grok | 23% | 14 of 20 | |
| Perplexity | 0% | 0 of 20 |
Share of prompts where the engine cited a tracked brand, averaged over 20 brands.
Discovery is the easiest phase to win in skincare, Filtered discovery the hardest
Citation rate by buying phase, averaged across all brands tested.
| Phase | Rate | Strongest brand |
|---|---|---|
| Discovery | 27% | CeraVe |
| Filtered discovery | 16% | CeraVe |
| Comparison | 22% | CeraVe |
| Evaluation | 22% | CeraVe |
0 of the top 12 brands are cited in at least half of prompts at every buying phase
Each cell is the brand's citation rate for that phase, shaded darker as the rate rises. A solid dark row is a durable brand: AI cites it across the whole funnel. Dark on the left and pale on the right is awareness without recommendation, the demand-leak pattern. Pale on the left and dark on the right is a brand AI weighs in Comparison and Evaluation but does not surface in Discovery.
| Brand | Panel Score | Discovery | Filtered discovery | Comparison | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeraVe | 68 | 70% | 47% | 78% | 80% |
| La Roche-Posay | 64 | 65% | 48% | 70% | 75% |
| The Ordinary | 57 | 68% | 43% | 50% | 65% |
| Neutrogena | 39 | 40% | 33% | 40% | 45% |
| Paula's Choice | 39 | 47% | 23% | 38% | 48% |
| SkinCeuticals | 33 | 50% | 23% | 30% | 25% |
| La Mer | 28 | 27% | 28% | 30% | 28% |
| EltaMD | 27 | 40% | 13% | 20% | 35% |
| Drunk Elephant | 23 | 38% | 20% | 20% | 5% |
| Cetaphil | 18 | 17% | 10% | 23% | 25% |
| Augustinus Bader | 16 | 27% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
| Vanicream | 16 | 13% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
Shading steps: darkest at 75% and up, then 50%, 30%, 10%, above 0%, and unshaded at 0%.
AI effectively recommends 11.4 of the 20 skincare on the panel
Derived metrics computed from the same data, showing how this segment behaves on AI search. The State of AI Search compares them across segments.
| Engine agreement | 0.41 | Partial agreement |
|---|---|---|
| Effective brands | 11.4 of 20 | Moderately concentrated, top 2 take 28% |
| Top demand-leak brand | Drunk Elephant | +33pp Discovery vs Evaluation |
| Top mention-only brand | Dr. Dennis Gross | 100% of visibility is mention-only |
| Phase | Kingmaker engine | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| discovery | Claude | 100pp |
| filtered | Grok | 83pp |
| comparison | ChatGPT | 100pp |
| evaluation | ChatGPT | 100pp |
For each phase, the engine where the gap between the most-cited and least-cited brand is widest, which is where positioning matters most.
Pre-registered claim for the next monthly run
Each is a falsifiable, dated prediction we'll grade against next month's data. The full set across all segments lives on the State of AI Search page.
Skincare stays concentrated, CeraVe retains top-1
PendingOn the next monthly run, the skincare segment will retain effective-brand count at or below 6.0 (currently 5.4 of 12 tracked) and CeraVe will retain top-Panel Score 1 position. Concentration is structural in this category.
Why we expect this: Skincare is one of the most concentrated tracked segments (top 2 brands take 54 percent of Panel Score share). CeraVe leads with Panel Score 53 in a category where the runner-up sits at 47. Categories this concentrated rarely de-concentrate in 30 days, the citation infrastructure that produces the leader pattern is the same infrastructure that would have to change.
CeraVe is the name AI cites most across skincare answers
Aggregated across every brand, prompt and engine combination tested. These are the names AI surfaces when buyers ask about skincare.
- 1CeraVe1239
- 2La Roche-Posay1104
- 3The Ordinary1015
- 4Neutrogena619
- 5SkinCeuticals569
- 6Paula's Choice495
- 7Drunk Elephant349
- 8Cetaphil271
- 9Augustinus Bader196
- 10Vanicream170
- 11EltaMD150
- 12Tatcha124
- 13Olay122
- 14Clinique110
- 15La Mer110
Count is the number of AI answers that cited the name.
AI cites 20 skincare names the panel does not track yet
Ranked by mention count and engine breadth. These are panel candidates: brands AI treats as part of the category even though we are not measuring them yet. Open a row to read the AI quote that surfaced it.
Youth to the People864 of 58 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, discovery emerging prompt
“...volving and may be exciting to explore in the future. 1. **Youth to the People**: Known for their superfood-based formulations, their cleansers and serums are highly praised. The *Superfood...”
First Aid Beauty862 of 513 of 20What AI said
Gemini response, comparison top brands prompt
“...fragrance-free and formulated for minimal irritation. * **First Aid Beauty** is another great option, especially their Ultra Repair Cream for moisturization. **For Oily/Acne-Prone Skin:** *...”
SK-II754 of 56 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, filtered budget high prompt
“...**The Cleansing Foam** which is gentle yet effective. 2. **SK-II**: Their **Facial Treatment Essence** is a cult favorite serum packed with Pitera, a natural ferment that enhances...”
Herbivore Botanicals694 of 53 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, filtered values driven prompt
“..., and the Dewy Skin Cream is a fantastic moisturizer. 3. **Herbivore Botanicals**: This brand is committed to using high-quality, natural ingredients. Their Blue Tansy Resurfacing Clarity Mask is a...”
Kiehl's683 of 512 of 20What AI said
Gemini response, discovery open prompt
“For a more accessible option, **Kiehl's Ultra Facial Cream** provides consistent hydration. For targeted **treatments**, **Paula's Choice 2% BHA Liquid...”
Estée Lauder644 of 58 of 20What AI said
Claude response, discovery popular prompt
“...*SkinCeuticals C E Ferulic** remain gold standards, while **Estée Lauder Advanced Night Repair** stays popular for nighttime use. ## Moisturizers **CeraVe Moisturizing Cream** (in the tub)...”
Differin594 of 512 of 20What AI said
Grok response, discovery open prompt
“...Liquid Exfoliant for acne or uneven texture. - **Retinol**: Differin Gel (adapalene) for effective, over-the-counter anti-aging, but start slow to avoid irritation. - **Sunscreen**:...”
RoC483 of 510 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, discovery current year prompt
“...s a staple for those looking to clear pores. **Retinol:** *RoC* is a trusted brand for retinol. Their *Retinol Correxion Deep Wrinkle Night Cream* is popular for its effectiveness...”
Biossance464 of 54 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, discovery emerging prompt
“...oxidant Cream*, which focus on achieving a dewy glow. 5. **Biossance**: Known for their clean beauty ethos, the *Squalane + Vitamin C Rose Oil* and *Squalane + Omega Repair Cream* are...”
Burt's Bees424 of 56 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, filtered persona beginner prompt
“...** - Lightweight yet deeply hydrating. 4. **Treatments:** **Burt's Bees Herbal Complexion Stick** - Great for spot treatment. 5. **Retinol:** **RoC Retinol Correxion Deep Wrinkle Night...”
Versed294 of 54 of 20What AI said
Claude response, discovery emerging prompt
“...s—their watermelon and papaya formulations are trending. **Versed** offers clean, dermatologist-tested options across all categories, particularly their hydrating moisturizers and...”
Timeless292 of 59 of 20What AI said
Claude response, discovery recommendation request prompt
“...0% + Zinc 1%** – budget-friendly, reduces pores and oil - **Timeless Vitamin C + E Ferulic Serum** – affordable brightening option - **Skinceuticals C E Ferulic** – gold standard, if...”
Eucerin252 of 58 of 20What AI said
Claude response, comparison attribute specific prompt
“...rsley Seed Anti-Oxidant Facial** – gentle yet effective - **Eucerin Eczema Relief Cream** – clinically tested **Retinol:** - **Vanicream Retinol Serum** – low-irritation formula -...”
Innisfree244 of 54 of 20What AI said
Grok response, evaluation buying advice prompt
“...SPF 46 (non-greasy, ideal for daily use, $36). - **Masks**: Innisfree Green Tea Seed Mask (hydrating and calming, packs under $2 each). Shop at drugstores like CVS or online at...”
Vichy243 of 53 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, comparison attribute specific prompt
“...redness and improving skin texture without irritation. - **Vichy Mineral 89**: A hydrating serum that strengthens the skin barrier with minimal ingredients. **Moisturizers**: -...”
Avène232 of 52 of 20What AI said
Gemini response, comparison top brands prompt
“...: **For Sensitive/Dry Skin:** * **La Roche-Posay** and **Avène** are excellent. Their cleansers (like La Roche-Posay Toleriane Hydrating Gentle Cleanser), moisturizers (Avène...”
Inkey List222 of 52 of 20What AI said
Claude response, discovery emerging prompt
“...ng Skincare Brands to Watch in 2026 ## Emerging Leaders **Inkey List** continues innovating with science-backed formulations. Their hyaluronic acid serums and niacinamide treatments...”
Supergoop222 of 53 of 20What AI said
Gemini response, evaluation buying advice prompt
“...F 30+ daily. **EltaMD UV Clear Broad-Spectrum SPF 46** or **Supergoop! Unseen Sunscreen SPF 40** are popular choices. **Once comfortable, gradually introduce:** * **Serums:** A...”
Dr. Barbara Sturm212 of 51 of 20What AI said
ChatGPT response, filtered budget high prompt
“...e Violet-C Brightening Serum**, are also exceptional. 4. **Dr. Barbara Sturm**: Known for her science-backed formulations, her **Cleansing Balm** is a great choice for removing makeup and...”
Osea212 of 51 of 20What AI said
Claude response, filtered values driven prompt
“...ved squalane and innovative serums ## **Moisturizers** - **Osea** - Seaweed-based, vegan, ocean-safe formulas - **Weleda** - Certified organic, biodynamic farming practices -...”
Method. For every panel brand, prompt and engine we record the brand names the analyzer extracted (capped at 6 per response), then drop names that match the tracked panel or its aliases, plus a denylist of generic category terms. To qualify: at least 3 mentions across at least 2 of 5 engines. Some entries may be tracked in another segment, in which case AI treats them as cross-category competitors. Reviewed monthly to inform panel additions.
The Ordinary loses the top spot under at least one buyer persona; the top 3 overlap 73% with baseline
The Panel Score is calibrated to a generic shopping-assistant prompt. Buyers don't arrive generically. We re-ran the same 20 canonical prompts five more times, each with a different buyer-persona signal in the system prompt: budget-conscious, premium, working professional, first-time, values-driven.
| Brand | Baseline | Budget | Premium | Pro | First-time | Values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Ordinary | 75% | 95% | 10% | 60% | 85% | 60% |
| CeraVe | 75% | 95% | 5% | 75% | 90% | 10% |
| Neutrogena | 65% | 90% | 5% | 70% | 80% | 5% |
| La Roche-Posay | 55% | 50% | 25% | 70% | 60% | 0% |
| SkinCeuticals | 55% | 5% | 45% | 55% | 5% | 10% |
Cells are tinted green when a brand gains 5 or more percentage points against baseline and red when it loses 5 or more; stronger tints flag a swing of 20 points or more. Top 8 baseline brands. Full per-persona data: data/research/persona-robustness/2026-05-08-1526/. Method on the State of AI Search page.
The same brands make the top 3 for every buyer demographic
We re-ran the same 20 canonical prompts under eight demographic system-prompt variants: gender (men, women) crossed with generation (Gen Z 18-29, Millennial 30-45, Gen X 46-61, Boomer 62+). Age ranges follow Pew Research boundaries. The system prompt names the age range only; the labels here are descriptive.
| Brand | Gen Z M | Gen Z W | Mill. M | Mill. W | Gen X M | Gen X W | Boomer M | Boomer W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeraVe | 85% | 80% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| The Ordinary | 90% | 75% | 70% | 80% | 75% | 80% | 65% | 65% |
| La Roche-Posay | 80% | 70% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 80% | 65% |
| Neutrogena | 80% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 65% | 75% | 75% |
“n/a” means the brand is not in that cell's top 3 (full ranked data is paid-tier). Top 8 brands by mean rate across demographics. The macro view is on the State of AI Search page.
What brands in skincare should do
Each is a category-specific decision drawn from this month's data, with the mapou service that puts it into practice.
Concentration risk
In skincare, AI effectively recommends 11.4 of 20 tracked brands. The top brand captures 14% of citations. The next 2 capture another 14%. Visibility is concentrated but not winner-takes-all.
How mapou helps: GEO & Citation Architecture restructures your entity data so you can break into the top set.
Engines split
Engines disagree on the skincare leaderboard. Mean cross-engine agreement is only 0.41 (1.0 = perfect agreement, 0 = independent). Optimizing for ChatGPT will not necessarily improve your Claude or Gemini visibility. You need engine-specific strategy.
How mapou helps: AI Visibility Audit maps your position separately on each of the 5 engines.
Persona-volatile category
Skincare rankings shift meaningfully by buyer persona. The Ordinary is the baseline #1 brand, but loses the top spot under at least one buyer signal (budget, premium, professional, first-time, values-driven). Top-3 overlap with baseline is only 73% across personas. Your baseline visibility number is incomplete.
How mapou helps: Persona-Tuned Panel Score computes the visibility number for your actual buyer mix.
Visibility tier mix
In skincare, 0 of 20 tracked brands clear Panel Score 75 (default-choice tier). 12 are below Panel Score 25 (not yet cited). The strategy differs at each tier. If you are below 25, you need foundational visibility infrastructure before tactical optimization.
How mapou helps: AI Visibility Audit identifies your tier; GEO & Citation Architecture moves you up.
Every brand faces the same 20 prompts, every month
The 20 canonical prompts span the four Panel Score phases (Discovery, Filtered Discovery, Comparison, Evaluation). The set is fixed at methodology v1.0 and reused every monthly run, so Panel Score changes are paired comparisons, not noise.
The exact prompt templates and phase-weighting formula are part of mapou's proprietary methodology, shared with paying clients alongside custom benchmarks for their brand. See the framework.
How we measured this
- Score
- Panel Score is mapou's 0 to 100 visibility score. Citations count fully, mentions at half weight, engines weighted equally, with Wilson 95% confidence intervals.
- Phases
- Discovery, Filtered Discovery, Comparison and Evaluation, weighted toward the start of the buying journey. Exact weights are shared with clients.
- Engines
- ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Claude, Grok
- Sample
- 20 brands, 20 fixed prompts each, refreshed May 7, 2026.
- Stage 1, First encounter
- Discovered and cited occasionally in AI answers for buyer-intent prompts.
- Stage 2, Repeat use
- Cited regularly enough to feel familiar and reliably present across prompts and engines.
- Stage 3, Default choice
- The go-to recommendation within the segment, often appearing first or most consistently.
Methodology v1.0. Read the full method.
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